Sunday, August 12, 2012

Preview: UTSA

Disclaimer: I wrote this a little over a week ago.


University of Texas at San Antonio
San Antonio, TX

Established: 1969
First football team: 2011
Undergraduates: 26,377

Fun fact: UTSA, despite being in their second year of play, will have seven seniors on their roster: RB Richard Mendoza, DE Lekenwic Haynes, P Parker Cundiff, DB Sean Luchnick, LB Brandon Reeves, DT Franky Anaya, and OG Patrick Hoog.  Hoog went to Oklahoma State originally, Hayes to Ole Miss, Luchnick to Penn State, and Anaya and Reeves to Pierce JC in California.  Anaya has a giant Roadrunner logo tattooed to his ass.

Alums you’ve heard of: sports reporter Michelle Beadle, former NBA player Devin Brown


Coach: Larry Coker (64-21 overall, 4-6 at UTSA, entering second season)

2011 record: 4-6

Rewind:  There’s really only two numbers that matter when we’re talking about UTSA: 35,521 and 56,743.  That’s their average attendance and opening game attendance, in order.  Both set NCAA records for a startup and punched their ticket to Conference USA.  The Runners run a 4-2-5 defense and a three-wide, one-back offense.  I found different things to be important than how many they won or lost – you’ll read about it.

UTSA hopped on the back of Eric Soza (237 passing, 102 rushing, 3 total TD’s) to crush Larry Coker’s alma mater, Division II Northeastern State (W, 31-3), in their inaugural game.  487 yards of offense wasn’t enough to get past Division III McMurry, as the Warhawks scored a their only passing TD of the game with sixteen seconds left (L, 24-21) after returning a blocked punt earlier that quarter.  For a matter of perspective, McMurry won a D3 playoff game in 2011 and was laden with seniors, and was coached by former Kentucky and New Mexico State head man Hal Mumme.  UTSA had fourteen players over 20 years of age playing in their second football game.

The Baby Birds first road trip was to Cedar City, Utah – home of the Thunderbirds from FCS Southern Utah.  After the Runners scored first, the Thunderbirds reeled off 38 straight points and won going away (L, 45-22).  Southern Utah would finish 6-5 on the year.  UTSA returned back to the Alamodome to face the NAIA Bacone College Warriors and was up 41-0 at the half.  This would wind up being a rout that virtually the entire roster got playing time in (W, 54-7).

Sam Houston, ranked #16 in FCS, harassed Soza into three interceptions and held the Runners under 30 yards rushing – with two fumbles and a safety - in a loss in Huntsville (L, 22-7).  UTSA is 2-3 at this point, with the first of two games that I believe actually meant something coming up – a home game against fellow transitional South Alabama.  The USA Jaguars were one year ahead of them in the process, and were 19-2 against a similar schedule of opponents.  They finally had their first taste of FBS play the two games prior, competitive losses at North Carolina State and at Kent State.

The Jaguars and the Roadrunners traded blows the entire contest, with no team ever opening up larger than a seven point lead.  A scoreless fourth quarter brought overtime for the first time for each program.  I believe this was Soza’s finest game of the year from the clips I have seen and what I have read.  He didn’t throw any interceptions,  led the team in rushing, and showed some real moxie.  However, in the second overtime, the Birds were forced to settle for a field goal, and South Alabama ran in a touchdown on their first play in the period (L, 30-27).

In California to play UC-Davis, UTSA is down 38-3 before Soza hits on two late TD passes, not enough to prevent another loss to an FCS team, their third of the season (L, 38-17).  In their bye week, UTSA’s next opponent, Georgia State, beat South Alabama 27-20 in overtime.  GSU’s Panthers and USA’s Jags are in the same timeframe in the transition.  I think this game should be looked back upon as this team’s finest accomplishment of their young existence.

Georgia State was up 14-0, after a 97 yard drive and a long pass on third down.  Soza manages to regroup and get his kicker into range before half time.  The UTSA defense holds GSU scoreless in the second half and they get exactly as much as they need.  They block a field goal, and Soza leads an eighty yard drive to get it to 14-9, and passes for the two-point conversion.  GSU misses a long field goal, and UTSA kicks a 30 yarder to tie the game with 24 seconds left.  GSU actually loses yardage and misses a long field goal in overtime on the first possession, and the Runners float in a 30 yarder to win (W, 17-14).  The three fledgling programs all took each other to overtime, and all split their contests.

UTSA struggles with another FCS team, McNeese State in Lake Charles.  They do manage to tighten it up late but it wasn’t enough (L, 24-21).  Finally, they blow out Division II Minot State at home before 32,000 in the Alamodome to close out a pretty satisfying 4-6 first season(W, 49-7).   


2012 outlook:  UTSA is going to do something without precedent.  They are going to play an FBS schedule (for the most part) one year after their first year of competition.  I can’t lie – I think they’ll get their teeth kicked in.  The cherry on the sundae is that they lost one of their best players.  DE Marlon Smith for whatever reason is not a Runner anymore.  I can’t explain properly how crippling this is.  Smith was somewhere between the best and third best player on this team. Therefore…

I like Soza, I like LB Steven Kurfels.  That’s about it.  The University of Texas at San Antonio is improving, but the giant leap being taken here is daunting.  I’m not being mean, petty, or anything like that to a perceived rival.  I’ve watched film, viewed “Birth of a Program”, and outside of the Cokerverse, I bet I know more about the Runners than anyone out there.  I will say this – what they lack in talent, they try their best to make up for in heart.  And speaking of talent, what they have attracted since taking the field is much better than they had before.

This presents a problem. Does Coker redshirt many freshmen since this season is kind of meaningless, or does he put the best team he can on the field?   

They beat Georgia State and lost to South Alabama.  I’m tossing the rest of the 2011 schedule out of the window to look how they would improve and beat both this season.

UTSA has never won a road game. Their best RB is 5’6” and 160 pounds, and their returning leading rusher gained 326 yards last season.  These kids are going to have to go to Ruston and play Louisiana Tech!

I think their best bet is to start freshman Treston Coleman from Day One at running back.   Soza is comfortable and is much better than I ever imagined he’d be.  He’s got moxie and a stylish little game, and the offense completely belongs to him.  It’s funny how well matters turned out for him.  He might get to be mayor of San Antonio one day.  The line is what it is.  I like OT Josh Walker and I think they should start Alex Delgado from Boerne as a freshman at left tackle.  Hopefully Walker and OG Cody Harris put on some weight.

There’s a possible replacement for Marlon Smith in freshman Brendon Brinkmann, but otherwise, we’re talking about the weakest part of one of the worst teams in FBS – the defensive line.  Coker needs to juco up before joining Conference USA in 2013.  Let’s just say this is a unit with a lot of heart, and there’s help coming soon.  I think.

Freshmen CB Trey Rosser and S Charles Wort should start immediately.  Both provide significant upgrades.  UTSA does have strength at linebacker.  Kurfels is the Soza of the Runner defense and Brandon Reeves isn’t too shabby.  Kurfels, if he can stay healthy, should be UTSA’s lone first team all WAC selection.  CB Erik Brown came home from Fresno State and is a serviceable defender – him, Rosser, Wort, S Eric Berry, and S Erik Waters is about as good as they can get.


Best Case Scenario?  There’s no reason UTSA can’t start the season 4-0, even with trips to Atlanta and Mobile.  Rice and New Mexico State are single-digit losses.  They survive the murderer’s row of San Jose State, Utah State, and that dreaded trip to Ruston without significant injuries, then beat McNeese in the Dome.  They fight hard against Idaho and Texas State and actually improve from 2011 to finish 5-7.

Other side of the coin?  They lose to South Alabama, come home and knock off A&M-Commerce, lose to Georgia State, then squeak by Northwestern Oklahoma State.  UTSA then proceeds to lose their final eight games, some in spectacular fashion.

2012 Schedule

Sept. 1 @ South Alabama (L)
Sept. 8 Texas A&M-Commerce (W)
Sept. 15 @ Georgia State (W)
Sept. 22 Northwestern Oklahoma State (W)
Sept. 29 @ New Mexico State (L)
Oct. 13 @ Rice (L)
Oct. 20 San Jose State (L)
Oct. 27 Utah State (L)
Nov. 3 @ Louisiana Tech (L)
Nov. 10 McNeese State (W)
Nov. 17 @ Idaho (L)
Nov. 24 Texas State (L)

My pick: 4-8

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