Monday, October 24, 2011

Three and Out - Week Nine

(1) Note - I had ridiculous problems with the streaming video.

Regarding the game on Saturday, what can I say that hasn't been repeated already? I wanted an undefeated streak at the end of this run through the Southland teams, and I thought this team had it in them. Sadly, we remain fully reminded that the Bobcats are a work in progress. Say goodbye to Hammond. The next time Texas State is scheduled to play in the state of Louisiana is their first trip to Ruston for a WAC game against Louisiana Tech in 2013.

Before I get too critical, it seemed like that was Southeastern's best game of the year. I know they gave up over 500 yards but their quarterback looked pretty good and Simmie Yarborough is now their all-time leading receiver. Former Longhorn (and all around felonious guy) Brandon Collins had a nice little game as well as senior Kory Theodore.

I don't see how a team can win many games on the road putting the ball on the rug twice while the defense allows at least a touchdown in each quarter and causes no turnovers of their own. 4-14 on third down and 1-4 on fourth down, too? I get that much of that comes from trying to come back in the fourth quarter, but still. This was against a team whose only previous victory was against a 1-6 MEAC school. What about the two turnovers by Rutherford and Lopez? One fumble in 45 running plays toward the end of the game is borderline acceptable. The kickoff return fumble was more aggravating. It was a ten point swing in less than a minute.

Congratulations go out to Terrance Franks for his monstrous 234 yards on only 24 carries. That's 9.8 yards a carry with two touchdowns.

In other news, Texas State led Texas Tech in Lubbock 10-9 at the half. Tech led Oklahoma, ranked 3rd on Saturday, 24-7 at the half en route to a 41-38 victory in Norman. Tech is Texas State's home opener in 2012 and the Bobcats just lost to Southeastern Louisiana. Just a little food for thought.

(2) I guess until Realignment Madness ends, this is where I talk about what I hear is going on. Yesterday I heard that the Big East was presented a proposal that had a 32 team national mega-conference. The Big East would take their schools plus Navy, Louisiana Tech, San Jose State, and Temple and merge them with the new Conference-USA/MWC football conference. West Virginia was not included as the CUSA/MWC representatives that put it together believe they are going to the Big 12.

This is a very bad development for Texas State, but then I heard there was also a 28 team version that removed the four teams I listed earlier. I didn't know how much to read into this until I heard the Boston Globe published a story on this exact same new dilemma. I guess it's not just a wild rumor but I am still checking with my people to figure out what is going on.

I still think they'll make a go of taking Boise, Air Force, SMU, Houston, UCF and Navy and the plan I just mentioned is a non-BCS pipe dream.

(3) Around the top 25:

Kansas State 35, Oklahoma 32

Georgia Tech 27, Clemson 21

Michigan State 24, Nebraska 17

Penn State 20, Illinois 19

Around the state:

Houston 45, Rice 17 (This is the televised Thursday game on ESPN - FYI)

Texas A&M 41, Missouri 37

Oklahoma State 55, Baylor 35

Texas 50, Kansas 10

Texas Tech 49, Iowa State 27

SMU 38, Tulsa 30

Southern Miss 28, UTEP 17

TCU 24, BYU 21 (Televised Friday game on ESPN)

Arkansas State 38, North Texas 21

Around the WAC:
Louisiana Tech 31, San Jose State 25

Hawaii 45, Idaho 14

Nevada 38, New Mexico State 21

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Three and Out - Week Eight

(1) Sorry that I missed last week, but I did go down to San Marcos to catch the Lamar game. We made the decision to do a live game thread rather than a Twitter play-by-play since they only had one seat in the press box for us. I'd like to hear what your thoughts were on that.


As far as the game went, I was loving it at 35-0 but not completely satisfied with 46-21. Fran has raised my expectations that much. Lamar is what UTSA hopes they can be next year and once they put in West Virginia transfer Jeremy Johnson at QB they became what I anticipate Texas State will see in the WAC in 2012. I spent Friday night watching San Jose State eek out one of the ugliest wins I have ever seen, but after watching Saturday's game either team would have beaten the Bobcats by 28. These boys have a long way to go still but everyone should be happy with 5-2. They have a very winnable roadie against Southeastern Louisiana and then home dates against Northwestern State and Prairie View A&M following that. I don't think it's unreasonable to believe the Cats will be 8-2 when they head to Conway to battle Central Arkansas.


(2) Expansion and realignment nonsense? Here ya go. We have it straight from Karl Benson's mouth that North Texas and Louisiana-Lafayette are his targets, and he's really not interested in adding AFA or Boise if they don't bring football. He likes where the WAC currently is, as much as he can frankly. Benson is looking for that eighth football school and believes the CUSA/MWC merger will bring fruit to his search. He loved the enthusiasm shown in Bobcat Alley and other tailgating sections. When I caught him in the press box at halftime and asked him what he thought of Texas State football gameday, he said it was one of the best stops of his career.


Line of the day: I ask him if he was happy to see San Jose State beat Hawaii Friday night. "Well, it's a conference game so I am impartial but I usually don't stay up until 11:30 watching football games." Then we all started laughing.

While he would like a team like Montana or Montana State to break loose, it was made very, very clear to us that UNT and LaLa are who he is after, and he has a plan to get them during "realignment madness".


Let me tell you what else I am hearing about. The Big East is trying to get Temple in. A move Villanova is adamantly against. It's looking like Boise State, Air Force, Navy, Central Florida, Houston and SMU are going to get invites there. East Carolina and Temple are backup plans if Boise and AF decline (as expected). Navy is still on the fence but the other three will join in a heartbeat.

Conference USA's old TV deal required a championship game, but it's rather unclear how TV and the merger will affect that yet. If Boise and Air Force stay while Houston, SMU, UCF, and East Carolina go then that's an eighteen team league. If there's two nine team divisions in the league, they can basically play eight or nine (with a crossover game) conference games a year and have a championship game. I believe that is the direction Banowsky and Thompson are headed. Banowsky will take over the Big 12 after Neinas while the merged conference will stay under Thompson's leadership and eventually will be for all sports.

Oh yeah, this saved the WAC if you didn't notice. There are way too many teams to worry about now for some of these leagues. This also ensures an undefeated WAC team will get extremely favorable pub as a BCS buster if the situation ever arises. They'll be the ultimate underdog. At least we can stop worrying about if the conference is going to exist in 2012. I now think it's possible to get North Texas or La-La after reading all this crap and talking with Mr. Benson, and I am no sunshine pumper. The WAC is still a regional brand while the Sun Belt is about to be completely overshadowed by this new league. It's a good thing to join the weakest league in the country in 2012. I think Texas State might be able to win the Potato Bowl in 2013 and get some serious momentum for the future.

(3) Around the Top 25:

LSU 27, Auburn 10

Wisconsin 24, Michigan State 21

Stanford 35, Washington 28

Around the state:

Texas A&M 42, Iowa State 19

Oklahoma 55, Texas Tech 45

Houston 49, Marshall 24

Rice 26, Tulsa 24

SMU 34, Southern Miss 31

UTEP 29, Colorado State 27

TCU 41, New Mexico 7

LA-Monroe 33, North Texas 21


Around the WAC:

Utah State 31, LA Tech 20

Nevada 35, Fresno State 28

Hawaii 28, NM State 17

Monday, October 3, 2011

Three and Out - Week Six

(1) It looked like the mess we tried to stir up over Twitter with Nicholls not packing the paddle might have worked. I can't take complete credit but every little bit helps and I like to think we contributed to the uproar. About 15,000 fans on Saturday asked, "Where's our paddle?" as the final seconds bled off the game clock. The specific oar in question was left in the Louisiana backwoods on questionable grounds by the Colonel's athletic director. The Loud Crowd packed a spare and several fans brought their own to the drubbing.

As far as the game went, I think Shaun Rutherford is getting the hang of this spread option, I was pleasantly surprised by the seven sacks by the Bobcat defense, and I really love blocked punts and extra points. The fake FG was completely unexpected, as Will Johnson has been so money on field goals this year. Shaun had four incompletions, three TD's, and one interception in twelve passing attempts.

In the past two games he's a combined 18-28 for an even 350 yards with seven touchdown and two interceptions. I don't share the warm fuzzies with the Bobcats' offense that I have for their defense, but I am done arguing about who the quarterback should be.

I wonder if Mike Sherman knew Michael Ebbitt was even on the roster at Texas A&M. Ebbitt had four of Texas State's seven sacks on Saturday and accounts for a third of the Bobcats season total to date. Fran (and new football Operations Director Mike Groce) recruited him once out of California and now a second time when they brought him over from College Station. He's been an unexpected bonus for Naivar's defense.

McNeese State, Texas State's next opponent, broke up a two-point conversion late in the fourth quarter to preserve a win at Northwestern, their seventh in a row against the Demons. Riley Dodge did not play for the Cowboys and he is questionable for this week's game versus the Bobcats. Dodge, the hard luck QB transfer from North Texas and former Southlake Carroll star, has seen way more than his share of injuries in his collegiate career. He's been sharing snaps with sophomore Cody Stroud and took a monster hit from a Southeastern defender the week before.


(2) I'm not much of a Cowboys fan, or an Aggie fan either. Either way, I saw two of the biggest second half collapses I can remember over the weekend. I haven't seen a pro team choke a lead away since I was a teenager and Frank Reich led the Bills back over the Oilers. At 27-3, I was ready to leave the bar and go home.

I had the canine side of my family in town to go watch the game versus Arkansas at Jerryworld, so I went to wait for them at a nearby bar and thought it was over at 35-17. Well, the bar had the official Razorback watching party going on and not even 628 yards of offense by the Ags shut them up or held their team down. I thought it would be funny to have the contingent that went to the game meet me there. They were not amused when the red-clad Hog fans started chanting "S-E-C! S-E-C!" at them upon their entrance. I'll remember that for next time.

Speaking of Aggies and conference realignment, this is what I've been hearing lately. Texas wants to go to ten, the Oklahoma schools want to go to 12, and Big 12 interim commish Chuck Neinas is pushing to expand and solidify now. He'll probably win. The candidates look to be BYU, Louisville, and in a major surprise, the Horned Frogs of Texas Christian University. My source was at their loss to SMU Saturday. Missouri is not expected to bolt by many people. Their blood feud with Kansas (the "Border War") as a conference rivalry is too important to leave behind and they are satisfied with the new deal to equally share first and second tier TV money in the Big 12.

What does this mean for Texas State? I'll try to be brief in breaking this down.

The Big East needs more teams than just throwing in Temple. Look for them to raid C-USA and possibly the MAC to replenish their ranks. The resulting chaos will cause C-USA to come after the Sunbelt, the WAC, or possibly the MWC. All cards are on the table at this point as the MWC will probably try for 12 and a title game in an arms match with C-USA. C-USA will almost certainly win, by the way, because they'll have Neinas' support and their commissioner will be next in line for the Big 12 job. Keep in mind the Sun Belt will probably be hit to replace Temple by a school like Western Kentucky by the MAC. There's going to be holes to fill everywhere and it looks like matters are going to be driven by market size. One last thing to keep in mind is that Texas State needs the WAC more than it needs them; which is an incredible fact considering the circumstances. I don't think the conference is going to get nailed as hard as some other people do.

I have it on pretty good authority that they're all in this together for now, but the Bobcats' neighbors to the south are much more aggressive regarding their future home. Both schools have applied informally to C-USA, the MWC, and the Sun Belt. I found out this morning that UTSA was one of the 20 that applied to the Big 12. In the meantime, let's just hope everyone at the non-AQ level doesn't get crazy and start building mega-leagues. I don't care what you read, C-USA isn't going to disappear and I doubt the Big East will either. Texas State needs the WAC to be operational for June 2012 or the Bobcats have no guarantees of joining an FBS league.

(3)Around the Top 25:

Oklahoma 31, Texas 21

LSU 24, Florida 7

Arkansas 44, Auburn 34

Around the state:

Rice 34, Memphis 0

Texas Tech 45, Texas A&M 42

Baylor 31, Iowa State 10

San Diego State 28, TCU 24

Florida Atlantic 16, North Texas 10

Houston 37, East Carolina 33

Around the WAC:

Boise State 48, Fresno State 20

UNLV 24, Nevada 13

LA Tech 21, Idaho 17

Utah State 25, Wyoming 24

BYU 44, San Jose State 15

Monday, September 19, 2011

Three and Out - Week Four

(1) I decided on Friday night to make it down for the Texas State home opener against Tarleton State. If you weren't there or in the area, I doubt you can understand the shock most of us had when a 90 minute thunderstorm caused over half of the tailgaters to leave and still have 15,800 in attendance. It didn't break the record of 16,000 set in 1982 versus Angelo State (edit: game in 1981 versus Texas A&M - Kingsville also had higher attendance, then known as Texas A&I) but it was very impressive to see an almost full stadium in person.

The game? Well, after seeing two games streamed over the internet it was just nice to be able to watch them play in person. There were a couple spectacular plays and a lot of mistakes. I can see the progress being made and I wish I could answer the quarterback question for everyone. I was very, very surprised to see Tyler Arndt not take even a single snap. Shaun Rutherford's stats passing were 11-22 for 106 yards. Over half of that was on two receptions to TE Kyle Doll. In person, I think I understand why Rutherford is starting. The way this spread option is run the QB has to carry the ball at least 10 times a game. There will be times that number pops up to 20 if the defense starts keying in on the tailback.

Texas State's going to be one dimensional on offense and people are going to have to learn to live with that. There are times where this can be incredibly effective but it will look terrible against big, athletic front sevens until Texas State gets the size to counter that. I think a lot of games with 100 yards of passing are in the future.

I was scared of what the defense was going to look like in person after they gave up over 1100 yards their first two games. Tarleton couldn't run to save their lives against the front seven. On the other hand, the secondary looks vulnerable and that's not good with SFA up next. The Jacks got torched by Baylor in a lightning shortened game in Waco last week but Brady Attaway will probably throw 50 times this week. He's not Jeremy Moses but he's capable and deadly accurate if he gets time behind the line. I think Texas State can get pressure on him but don't be surprised if this game we see 350 yards passing out of SFA.


We live-tweeted and ran a game thread this week sitting in the press box. This might have to be a necessity in the future as we were given stat updates and drive summaries. I hope you guys followed @bobcatreport this Saturday if you weren't there. We were almost able to do play by play tweeting. I found it to be a nice little feature and I'd like to think it was well received.

(2) Information is loosening up regarding some of the intentions of the WAC over the next year and I'm surprised at what's going on. It looks for right now that the conference plans to only invite Cal State Bakersfield (CSUB) and Dallas Baptist (DBU) as baseball-only affiliates for the 2013 year. They will go forward as associate members, much like Sacramento State (Sac State) is currently in baseball.

It's interesting to view what the three schools have to offer. Dallas Baptist has a school record 5500 enrollees this fall but the rest of their sports outside of baseball draw very few fans and struggle at the Division II level. Sacramento State would be a home run as a full member of the WAC, as the Hornets play football in a 22,000 seat stadium in proximity to current member San Jose State. They for now have chosen to keep their gridiron team in the FCS-playing Big Sky. CSUB would love to have a full-time home in the WAC, but lack of football and other considerations prevented their membership.

I think CSUB will work toward full membership in the future and DBU will enjoy being a powerhouse in baseball with a permanent home in the WAC. I don't see them enjoying full membership with the prior addition of UT Arlington less than 25 miles away. Both teams are outstanding additions to the WAC and lead me to believe we might see some other affiliate members in the future for other sports.

The question was asked in the War Room about Texas State talking to other conferences. I know first hand how happy the school is with full WAC membership and all of their plans point toward that. However, I've been told by a media member here in DFW that pretty much every school in the country at the FBS non-AQ level has talked things over with other conferences gauging interest. Texas State's response has been that they want to stay with the WAC long term and they support the long term goals and vision of the conference leadership. However, if that is compromised, they would be willing to have further discussions with two of the three leagues within their footprint. Those two leagues are Conference USA and the Mountain West. Let me repeat - Texas State wants to be in the WAC and for the league to be successful. They find it the best place to grow into an FBS level power if they can, and they like what the league is doing to sustain itself. The goals of the membership match their own and their long-term budgeting is for play in the Western Athletic Conference. However, if league integrity is compromised, they are not going to play as an FBS independent.

As for other matters around college football like the ACC picking up Pitt and Syracuse, no non-AQs have been poached yet. It's ludicrous to think that Texas State is a huge get for anyone as a transitional unless another non-AQ league's desperate for another school in Texas. That could happen but it's far too early to speculate much further. Rest assured that Texas State is OK if the poop hits the fan at the lowest level of FBS.

(3) Around the top 25:

Texas A&M 35, Oklahoma State 31

Alabama 27, Arkansas 17

Clemson 30, Florida State 16

LSU 21, West Virginia 20

Baylor 28, Rice 24

Around the state:

SMU 44, Memphis 6

TCU 51, Portland State 3

South Florida 41, UTEP 27

Texas Tech 44, Nevada 13

Houston 56, Georgia State 19

Around the WAC:

UTSA 31, Bacone College 10

New Mexico State 24, San Jose State 19

Fresno State 36, Idaho 21

Mississippi State 47, Louisiana Tech 17

Utah State 25, Colorado State 17

Hawaii 44, UC-Davis 13

Monday, September 12, 2011

Three and Out - Week Three

(1) I'm not going to talk much about Texas State's lack of leadership at QB or non-existent passing game. We've beaten that to death. What we're looking at now is a team that's been outscored 95-20 with the same caliber of opponent they open up with next year. Granted, Texas Tech will be at home, but the Bobcats return to Houston, the site of a 68-28 flogging in 2010. I'm inclined to believe that leading Tech at the half and only trailing the Cowboys 17-10 is a sign of things to come for next season. As it stands however, Texas State is 0-2 as an FCS transitional independent - the only one of the four without a win. Is that more a showing of the Wright regime leaving a bare cupboard or Franchione's guys not adjusting to the talent they have?

I think it's the former for one big reason - Travis Bush only took Eric Soza with him to UTSA. If there were more diamonds in the rough they would have jumped at the chance to go play in the Dome and help build a program under their offensive coordinator rather than adjust to a new set of coaches starting from scratch. Think about that. Only one kid followed one of the guys that recruited him to a program with a tremendous amount of scholarships available when there's massive upheaval in the team's future. I wouldn’t have believed the current Texas State depth chart if you showed it to me in the spring, but I don't want to call this a rebuilding season. There's a good chance the talent accumulated by Brad Wright just can't run the different schemes being taught by Dickey and Naivar. The coaches might just have to get by on wits, duct tape, and using the guys they brought in themselves earlier than they may have hoped.

I am in the camp that doesn't believe Tyler Arndt is Maroon Jesus. I think he's a fine quarterback and a good athlete. I also think there's a very specific type of signal caller needed to run this offense effectively, and he's coming in the next recruiting class. It would be very nice if Fred Nixon could enroll in the spring of 2012 because I am of the opinion that Fran knows what he has right now and is trying to make the best of it. That said, Arndt is a competitor - same as Shaun Rutherford. Maybe Rutherford's better suited for the position as an athlete, or perhaps Arndt doesn't grasp matters effortlessly yet in the scheme. I don't know. Teams have been successful platooning at QB but you don't see many. One of them was the TCU teams of 1999 and 2000, featuring Casey Printers and Patrick Batteaux. Battaeux couldn't pass and Printers was slightly mobile at best. They went 18-5 and got Fran hired at Alabama.

I'd follow recruiting closer than ever this season to see what's really more important - getting it done on the field in 2011 or loading up for big time football in 2012. There's a lot of football left this season and I'm not going to let two stink bombs that once were winnable games get in the way of being excited over the rest of the season. Every Franchione team has been better year two than year one all the way back from NAIA Southwestern. This should be no different. There's a very winnable game against 0-2 Tarleton State at Bobcat Stadium this Saturday. It's a good tonic to a group of young men that have given their all away from home the last two weeks.

Just like you, I want to see the tables turned on one of these "body bag" games. My mistake was setting up my expectations too high and way too early. UTSA lost to D3 McMurry on the Longhorn Network. Texas State lost to Wyoming on the Mtn. I'm happier than they are.


(2) Texas State's former conference mate Central Arkansas gave Louisiana Tech all they could handle, taking the Bulldogs to OT before falling 48-42. Looking at the schedule, it's the last game of the Bears regular season and the final roadie for the Bobcats. I'm not looking forward to that game, knowing it's their finale on the funky striped turf. By the way, Texas State is an FCS independent, meaning no wins or losses to the Bobcats by the SLC's membership will count in the standings.


Huge congrats to New Mexico State, who traveled to Minneapolis and knocked off the Gophers for their first win ever against a Big 10 team. Lost in the news about Jerry Kill's seizure was beleaguered NMSU head coach Dewayne Walker is a former Minnesota player. That's got to be a sobering moment.


LA Tech's got Houston at home this week, and Idaho travels to College Station to visit the Aggies. UTEP is headed to Las Cruces to take on another set of Aggies, while the Aggies from Utah State are off. Nevada took a pummeling from Oregon last week and hopes to right the ship versus San Jose State, who's been outscored 84-20 against two straight Pac-12 teams. So...


(3) Top 25:

LSU 38, Mississippi State 28

Florida State 31, Oklahoma 24


Around the state:

TCU 51, LA-Monroe 6

UCLA 17, Texas 14

Texas A&M 48, Idaho 3

Baylor 41, Stephen F. Austin 14

Houston 38, LA Tech 24

UTEP 28, New Mexico State 13

Texas Tech 41, New Mexico 27

Alabama 66, North Texas 6

Southern Utah 49, UTSA 7


Around the WAC: (many were listed already)

Nevada 27, San Jose State 14

Fresno State 45, North Dakota 10

Hawaii 27, UNLV 10

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Three and Out - Week Two

(1) Due to some weird circumstances beyond my control, I've been in San Antonio since last Monday. That did allow me to attend the UTSA inaugural game at the Alamodome and check out things, and I've completely changed my tune about that program. There were more people there than Tech drew for Texas State.

The on the field product didn't impress me too much. If I had to pick three future stars for them they'd be Sophomore QB Eric Soza, Sophomore LB Steven Kurfels, and Junior DE Marlon Smith. Freshman Nic Johnston at Safety made a lot of stops, but that was due to running plays getting to the next level and some pass completions that should have been broken up. Another guy that will get some headlines this year was Kurfels' counterpart at LB, Brandon Reeves. He had a whale of a game but isn't a great athlete.

The Runner offense is terrible. They can't run the ball and their offensive line is a glaring weakness. Soza looked good but he doesn't have a go-to guy yet. He threw for over 230 yards, but at least 150 of that were blown a result of a blown coverage or a dump-off pass that went for a big gain. I did like one of their wide-outs, a kid from Edna named Kam Jones, who has some potential. I will say that Soza could have run the Bobcat offense better than Rutherford or Arndt did in Lubbock after watching both games. More on that later.

The game day experience was incredible. I counted 38 different UTSA shirts and most of them were graphically sharp. The merchandise selection on site was excellent and every Academy in town was virtually depleted of shirts and hats over the last week. I can't tell you how many times I saw someone buy clothing and put it on as soon as they got out of line. Speaking of lines, Runner fans better get used to them. The lines for concessions were long and stayed that way the entire game. The ticket lines at kickoff outside - and they have 32 windows - were twenty deep at the minimum. This is a walkup town and the tailgating - dear God. You can put me on record that this was the best tailgating experience I have ever been to. Everyone was very, very inviting to the Rivals guy and liberally distributed food and adult beverages. I wanted to meet the UTSATailgaters.com crew but they were on the other side of the Dome from where I parked. I wandered from random tailgate to tailgate talking to people and was duly impressed.

My favorite part(s) of the game was when Soza waved for everyone to quiet down and they thought he was gesturing to make noise. He was visually frustrated and word spread quickly through the stadium that his motions meant to "shut up". Later in the game NSU was driving and the UTSA defensive backs all started jumping in the air and flailing their arms. Virtually the entire body of attendance stood up, started yelling, and proceeded to bang on the back of the chair in front of them. It was so loud the NSU QB called for a timeout. Immediately afterward everyone there started cheering, hugging, and high-fiving each other for what they'd done. They realized they can make a difference.

This is a party town so the cops will have their hands full, but it's a Fiesta every Saturday in the fall for San Antonio. The uniforms, field, band, and mascot look sharp; the fans are having fun; and I think UTSA could be a sleeping giant. I'm talking BCS level and UTSA approached this game as such. I've been to the Alamo Bowl a couple of times and one of the Saints games after Katrina; this by far was louder, rowdier, and a heck of a lot more fun. I think there were some logistical issues that need to be addressed but the town is drinking Lynn Hickey's Kool-Aid. It is extremely trendy to wear UTSA apparel in San Antonio right now and I bet 80% or more of these guys are coming back this Saturday.

The Runners have an interesting next game against the original inventor of the Air Raid passing attack. Hal Mumme, formerly of New Mexico State and Kentucky, leads Division III McMurry into the Alamodome. He turned an 0-10 team into a 6-4 2011 performer. I think UTSA will win but I wouldn't be surprised to see that young secondary of theirs get burned several times by an experienced unit marshaled by a savvy old coach that's seen big hostile stadiums before.

To end my UTSA lovefest - I can't wait for the Texas State game in 2012 at the Alamodome. It'll sell out and the partying will be epic.

(2) Texas State led Texas Tech at halftime this week. That really happened. I didn't go to the game but I dumped ten bucks on RaiderVision and viewed it online. I'll throw this out there - either Shaun Rutherford needs to learn to throw or Tyler Arndt needs to learn how to run. If I was coaching Wyoming, I would know the tendency just by which guy was on the field. The Bobcats cannot go an entire season operating with two different signal callers.

I know there's a remarkable difference between playing a BCS team and a Division 2 squad, but Soza would own this offense if he had stuck around. He's a playmaker. I now know why Travis Bush took Soza with him, and it's a shame the previous regime never utilized the young man. He's got the wheels to run the spread option properly, can make most of the throws, and has a little bit of moxie in him.

As for the game, what can you say about leading 10-0 in the first quarter and then giving up 50 unanswered points? Four turnovers, 11 penalties, and 75 yards passing on 21 attempts isn't going to beat Lamar let alone Texas Tech. I could absolutely fall in love with the ground game if the Bobcats could even throw for 150 per contest. Four fumbles looks like a lot on 50 running plays, too. There's a lot of room for improvement obviously, and Weber State hung with Wyoming on Saturday. Let's just hope the team took their lumps, learned some lessons, and can apply it toward beating an FBS team that had to come from behind with twenty seconds left to beat an inferior opponent. Weber ran the ball down Wyoming's throat but was able to throw for over 300 yards and two touchdowns. The Cowboys gave up 541 offensive yards to the Wildcats.


(3) Other predictions for Week Two:

Top 25 matchups:

Mississippi State 51, Auburn 42

South Carolina 35, Georgia 21


Around the state:

SMU 31, UTEP 24

TCU 37, Air Force 28

Texas 24, BYU 21

Houston 40, North Texas 14

Rice (go Bailiff!) 21, Purdue 18

UTSA 45, McMurry 33


Around the WAC:

Minnesota 51, New Mexico State 24

Hawaii 27, Washington 25

Oregon 42, Nevada 31

Nebraska 38, Fresno State 17

Idaho 21, North Dakota 15

Louisiana Tech 38, Central Arkansas 13

Utah State 55, Weber State 27

UCLA 63, San Jose State 10

Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Three and Out - Week One

(1) I have been listening to the Rivals.com radio network on Sirius for the past couple weeks and am fired up for the season to start. The hatred some of these FBS fanbases have for each other is intense and never quits. I don't share the hatred for Sam or SFA that many Bobcat fans do but I can see some long term bad juju coming for UTSA. Texas State is very fortunate to have a rival so nearby with the size and ambition of UTSA. I watched every episode of "Birth of a Program" on Saturday after one of our friends to the south alerted me to a marathon on Fox Sports Southwest.

Coach Franchione will lead his Bobcats into hostile Texas Tech this weekend.
My thoughts are that they might have a huge hit on their hands as long as they win, and win often. The Express News preview put them at 4-6 and I think they have to do quite a bit better than that to keep the buzz up. It's mentioned that no startup has ever gone to FBS in two seasons several times. As I said earlier, the ambition is enormous for the Roadrunner program, but I don't think a major city has ever bought into a startup the way San Antonio is. I could see them being a major pain in the backside for Texas State and other FBS programs in the very near future. They have pressure on them to succeed at a level unseen outside the BCS ranks due to the investment of the city.


(2) I spent four months in Lubbock for work about ten years ago. In fact, I went directly from the Panhandle to Chapel Hill (home of the University of North Carolina). I liked Chapel Hill much better. Lubbock's a pretty rough town for outsiders and non-Tech students. I hear it's not a dry town anymore so you don't have to endure "the Strip" - a trip to be talked about and not experienced. They don't throw tortillas anymore, and Tech fans don't dress up like pirates like they did under Leach. They do have an SEC caliber coach (Tommy Tuberville) and one of the hottest offensive coordinators in the country (30 year old Neal Brown). Tech reeled in the best recruiting class in their history in January and run an offense reminiscent of Houston's which the Bobcats were witnesses to last season, except faster paced with a greater emphasis on the running game. Less jet sweeps, more power running. They, like Texas State, are installing a 4-2-5 defense under former TCU secondary coach and new defensive coordinator Chad Glasgow.

I would be inclined to pick Tech by forty and call it a night, but I'm not going to bet against a Franchione-coached team getting run out of the stadium. In fact, I would love for this matchup to be in 2013 and not this season due to the immense difference in depth between the two teams. I like the spread option to confuse a defense that's been lining up against something different all preseason, and I am going to hope the installation by Naivar progressed faster than Glasgow's. Texas State will keep it close for almost three quarters before the fresh bodies Tech has plus just the general difficulties of being an away team in a Big 12-level hostile environment take their toll on the Bobcats.

Texas Tech 34, Texas State 17.

I'm not into moral victories, but I think both sides leave the field with their heads up and Texas State spends the 2011-12 offseason dreaming about knocking the Raiders off in their home opener. They'll put the work in to try to make that happen.


(3) Other predictions for week one:

Top 25 matchups -

Georgia 27, Boise State 24

Oregon 42, LSU 35


Around the state -

FIU 28, North Texas 17

TCU 37, Baylor 24

Houston 42, UCLA 38

Texas 24, Rice 10

UTEP 51, Stony Brook 7

A&M 31, SMU 24


Around the WAC -

Idaho 14, Bowling Green 13

Auburn 35, Utah State 10

Stanford 45, San Jose State 13

Cal 28, Fresno State 21

Ohio 16, New Mexico State 10

Southern Miss 31, Louisiana Tech 21

Hawaii 35, Colorado 24