Sunday, August 12, 2012

Photos of LA Tech, Alabama, and Auburn

Earlier this summer I took a trip to Atlanta and back with the publishers of the LA Tech and ULM Rivals sites.  This is some of the shots I took on the trip.

You can follow them on Twitter @BleedTechBlue and @WarhawkReport.

Alabama

Auburn

LA Tech

Videos from Sun Belt media day


Behind the scenes at the SBC media day.


ULL coach Mark Hunspeth


Arkansas State QB Ryan Aplin


MTSU DE Omar McClendon


Arkansas State head coach Gus Malzahn


ULM head coach Todd Berry


WKU TE Jack Doyle


FIU coach Mario Cristobal


Troy head coach Larry Blankenship


ULL QB Blaine Gaultier


COX Sports Sun Belt Preview


Video from WAC Media Day, etc

 
 The WAC fifty year anniversary video.

 
 UTSA head coach Larry Coker, QB Eric Soza, and LB Steven Kurfels.

Utah State head coach Gary Andersen, WR Matt Austin and LB Bojay Filimoeatu

SJSU head coach Mike MacIntyre and OT David Quessenberry

Texas State head coach Dennis Franchione, RB Marcus Curry and CB Darryl Morris

NMSU head coach DeWayne Walker, QB Andrew Manley, and DE Donte Savage


LA Tech head coach Sonny Dykes, DB Chad Boyd and QB Colby Cameron

Idaho head coach Robb Akey, WR Mike Scott and CB Aaron Grymes

Commissioner Jeff Hurd

Monday, April 30, 2012

Texas State to join Sun Belt in 2013

Multiple sources have confirmed to the BobcatReport staff that Texas State will join the Sun Belt Conference for the 2013 season from their soon-to-be future league, the Western Athletic Conference.

The Bobcats, one of seven universities competing in the WAC for the 2012 season, will defect from the Denver-based league along with UT San Antonio (CUSA), Utah State (MWC), and San Jose State (MWC).

Texas State is expected to replace North Texas in the Sun Belt, also reported to be joining Conference USA with UTSA. Georgia State was recently added to the Sun Belt for the 2013 season from the Football Championship Subdivision. The Sun Belt also expects to lose Florida International to CUSA.

The 2013 Sun Belt, led by longtime WAC commissioner Karl Benson, will consist of 2011 champion Arkansas State, Louisiana-Lafayette, Louisiana-Monroe, Troy, South Alabama, Middle Tennessee State, Western Kentucky, Florida International, Georgia State, and Texas State. Longtime member Arkansas-Little Rock does not compete in football.

Thursday, April 5, 2012

Realignment News?

Do you want the good news or the bad news first? Well, since I can't predict the future, I get to pick.

There's a posted meeting for the UT System Board of Regents for the 12th. I have been trying to figure out what it is since the middle of last month. UT has steadfastly refused to release what the subject matter is until Monday the 9th.

Well, UTSA has very publicly started lobbying for Alliance membership, specifically the CUSA side. That's thrown a wrench into the plans of Karl Benson and the Sun Belt, whom I believe was ready to offer them membership next week at the same time he was formally going to offer Georgia State.

What does this mean for Texas State? Well, one school's loss is another one's gain. I am working my rear off here but I believe Texas State is next up for the Belt. I don't have a timeframe on when we should expect this but it's in the works.

There's a ton of details to be worked out, like exit fees and other nonsense. You're not going to hear a peep out of the administration or the Sun Belt. This has been very hard to track down.

Texas State and Georgia State would join the Sun Belt for 2013.

Now, the bad news. Texas State is a potential candidate for the Mountain West Conference if they go to 12 teams. They might do it now, they might wait a year. Either way, they are going to expand to more than 8 or 9 with the addition of UTEP. If Texas State joins the Sun Belt, they will probably be saddled with a huge buyout if they want to leave. I'm talking BCS conference size, if not greater. They'll already have to pay exit fees to the WAC on top of everything else. Benson is acutely aware of the financial aspect involved.

The longer the wait until an announcement, the better Texas State looks in the eyes of the Mountain West. Members like Wyoming and New Mexico covet the location between Austin and San Antonio for recruiting purposes. The problem here is that they still might lose another member and not want anyone at State's level to join until 2015. CUSA's television contract dictates that they are to have a championship game, so they're a little more hard pressed for members before the '13 season. The two conferences are working together to ensure stability so I believe CUSA's roster will be filled first. There's schools ahead of Texas State in line for the MWC, such as San Jose State and Utah State.

How patient is Texas State going to be? I have no idea.

Monday, March 12, 2012

Winds of Change?

The list of prospects for the Conference USA / Mountain West merger has the Bobcats right in the thick of the hunt.

Will Texas State be one of the schools selected by the new CUSA/MW merger?
Schools that have applied to the Alliance:

(WAC)
Idaho
LA Tech
New Mexico State
San Jose State
Texas State
UTSA
Utah State

(Sun Belt)
Florida Atlantic
Florida International
North Texas

(A-10)
Charlotte

A couple of things to add:
On the BobcatReport Podcast that was previously recorded, I stated stating my belief that Texas State was going to be an eventual member of the Mountain West while University of Texas-San Antonio (UTSA) would join Conference USA.

Now that someone besides myself is talking about something I said I wasn't going to, I'm open for questions.

It was my belief that the Alliance would split Texas State and UTSA up if you saw my original thread on this subject. Texas State would join the West and the Runners would join the East. The timing of this leak is extremely interesting.

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

Is Texas State in Play?

Texas State, UTSA, and North Texas are candidates if this is a 24 team league. I fully expect it to be. You need twelve teams to have a league championship game (a "Semifinal", if you will), and since this is a new league, they will need the approval of 3/4ths of membership to vote someone in. That is now 12 members. A team in Colorado will have the same amount of pull as a team in West Virginia toward expansion into Florida.

Texas is able to house teams in both of the middle divisions so it will probably raise the least amount of objections from such far-flung membership. Over half of the Alliance signed a 2012 recruit from the state. I think there are some very good Sun Belt programs like MTSU and Troy that will be left out of the Alliance because they aren't sexy enough names to the West or even to proud schools like Rice or Southern Miss. Those are my two wild cards. If one of them get in you can blow this entire thing up and start over.

I'd like to think that Texas State would have the support of Rice, Tulane, Tulsa, Air Force, UTEP, Wyoming, and New Mexico. That's 7/12.

The MWC side has nine teams and the CUSA side has seven. My current projection is for the West to add Utah State, San Jose State, and Texas State. I expect the East to add LA Tech, North Texas, one of FIU or FAU, Temple (football only), and UTSA. This will create a divisional setup as follows:

Pacific Division Mountain Division Central Division Eastern Division
San Jose State Air Force Rice East Carolina
Hawaii* Colorado State Tulane Marshall
Fresno State New Mexico Tulsa Southern Miss
Nevada UTEP La Tech UAB
UNLV Wyoming North Texas FIU/FAU
Utah State Texas State UTSA Temple*
*Football Only
I think it is very likely Air Force leaves in two seasons for the Big East. When that happens, I expect UTSA to move to the Mountain division, Southern Miss to the Central, and the candidate to come from the East Coast. By then, Charlotte and Georgia State will have a couple of seasons under their belts and bring good markets into play.

As far as the WAC goes, I expect the Belt to readmit former members Idaho, Denver, and New Mexico State - plus offer UT Arlington membership. Seattle would apply for the WCC and one of the oldest conferences in the country would cease to exist. Boise would probably look toward the Big Sky for non-football athletics.

I put the odds of something close to this happening at 40%.

----

Another scenario would have the Sun Belt and MAC raided along with the WAC with a different twist on the outcome for the WAC.

Pacific Division Mountain Division Central Division Eastern Division
San Jose State Air Force Rice East Carolina
Hawaii* Colorado State Tulane Marshall
Fresno State New Mexico Tulsa Buffalo
Nevada UTEP UAB FIU
UNLV Wyoming Mid Tenn/Troy/Western Kentucky FAU
Utah State North Texas Southern Miss Temple*
*Football Only
The reeling WAC and Sun Belt then look to merge, and join an alliance with the MAC.
Idaho Arkansas State Akron Ball State
New Mexico State Louisiana-Lafayette Bowling Green Central Michigan
Texas state Louisiana-Monroe Kent State Eastern Michigan
UTSA South Alabama Miami (OH) Northern Illinois
La Tech Mid Tenn/Western Ken/TU Ohio UMass
TBD (UTA?) Mid Tenn/Western Ken/TU Toledo Western Michigan
All current WAC non-football full members would be folded into this along with UALR of the Sun Belt.

I put the odds of this happening (or something similar) at 30%.

---

Finally, I have a doomsday scenario. What if the Alliance just brought back their former WAC-mates and added the Florida Belt schools?
Pacific Division Mountain Division Central Division Eastern Division
San Jose State Air Force Rice East Carolina
Hawaii* Colorado State Tulane Marshall
Fresno State New Mexico Tulsa UAB
Nevada UTEP/New Mexico St La Tech FIU
UNLV Wyoming New Mexico St /UTEP FAU
Utah State Idaho Southern Miss Temple*
*Football Only
It's not the end of the world as Texas State would probably help shore up a tighter Sun Belt. They can still partner up with the MAC and eventually add Lamar, and "save" UT Arlington if they decide to revive football.

Arkansas State
Lamar
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Monroe
Middle Tennessee
North Texas
Southern Alabama
Texas State
UTA
UTSA
Troy
Western Kentucky

Odds of something close to this, in my opinion? 20%.

---

I'm saving that last 10% for something unexpected, like the alliance staying at 20.

I've gone on record multiple times that I like the WAC and outside an almost-certain pounding by LA Tech in 2012, I like Texas State's chances in the depleted conference. It's a great place to incubate a program and the Bobcats should be competitive sooner rather than later. In my mind, these are the three most likely scenarios for Texas State and the new Alliance.